2012-11-01
2012-11-30
x chris christie
x florida

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MSNBCW 43
MSNBC 39
FOXNEWS 19
CSPAN 13
CNN 11
CNNW 11
CURRENT 11
KNTV (NBC) 5
CSPAN2 4
KGO (ABC) 4
KPIX (CBS) 4
KQED (PBS) 4
WHUT (Howard University Television) 4
WMAR (ABC) 4
WUSA (CBS) 4
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English 216

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to win? we'll find out which way the swing state of nevada is going to go. >> politics and gambling are becoming in incompatible. you can't stay at a trump property. you can't stay at sheldon adelson hotel. you can't stay at steve wynn's hotel either. >> cenk: i love this one. the ridiculous efforts to get black voters. >> it's a big lie that democrats are for black americans and republicans are against black americans. abraham who freed the slaves was a republican. >> cenk: and so was alexander the great if we're going back to history--awesome. and the elbow of the day who's head is it going to land on? you'll love it. it's go time. [ ♪ music ♪ ] >> obama: it's good to be back. >> romney: if the president is re-elected he still will be unable to work with the people in progress. >> our top priority is defeat president obama the second time. >> i can't thank president obama enough for his personal concern and passion. >> people are dumpster diving, and what they're going after here is the food. >> this is america folks. it is not supposed to be this way. >> job reports appear re

hampshire, virgin, florida, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, nevada, and if you put that through the grinder, you come out with one state, ohio. is that true? but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend

: and then the wildcard no one is talking about. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some noise ♪ >> hello ohio, are you fired

this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha

in the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be decided. one of them has to be the state of ohio. the president has events in ohio four out of five days on the trail. he stopped in iowa, wisconsin, and colorado two times, each will be in florida and virginia, new hampshire, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a stronger futu

4 points in washington and pennsylvania. leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt romney with needs to win 54 to 60% of the remaining votes in the states in order to drop into the victory. that's a huge lift. i think when you couple the fact that democratic base is much more fired up with the fact that obama for america has been organizing for the last four years. they keep talking about pennsylvania, you can't drop into pennsylvania the weekend before an election, and expect to tip the vote just by buying ads when you have the other team with a fantastic ground operation. >> drive by campaigning won't do it. when you look at pennsy

. right now he's en route to nevada. and later this evening, it is on to colorado. in what advisers call a slightly altered but affirmative stump speech, the president has promised to lay out his case of who he's fighting for and why. >> retraining at the age of 55 for a career in biotechnology. she needs a champion. >> and these are live pictures now from where governor romney is on the ground in virginia, in the southern part of the state. it is the governor's second event, by the way, of the day there. earlier today in central virginia, the governor resumed his message that he is the change candidate. this election, something he started before the storm. >> if the president were to be re-elected, you're going to see high levels of unemployment continue and stalled wage growth, if any wage growth at all, just like we've seen over the last four years. >>> and we're also getting a look at a new round of battleground polls all showing the president leading or running neck and neck with governor romney. in iowa the president is ahead six appointments among likely voters. he had an eight-po

in wisconsin, iowa, and nevada. let me ask you specifically about nevada. we see -- as karen was saying, strong early voting advantages. mitt romney appears not to be making any stops there over the next three days. do you der rooifr anything from that sfl. >> i derive a lot from the early voting numbers and i think the fact that romney is not going there is quite telling. nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has t

of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud

states today, wisconsin, nevada and colorado. vice president biden heads to iowa, while the first lady campaigns in florida. mitt romney will spend the day in virginia while vice presidential nominee paul ryan heads west to campaign in colorado and nevada. >>> and believe it or not, michelangelo's paintings on the ceiling of the sistine chapel were first displayed to the public 500 years ago today in 1512. >>> all day long you can stay on top of the very latest developments in those stories and others as they break on msnbc. and tonight be sure to watch brian williams with "nbc nightly news." >>> and, finally, here's a look at what's coming up later this morning on the "today" show. savannah gets an inside look at how engineers are draining all that water from new york city's flooded tunnels and subways. >>> and with just one day to go until their big show on the plaza, a look back at four decades of aerosmith. >>> and now keep it on this channel for continuing local news, weather, sports, and more. i'm lynn berry. thanks for watching "early today," just your first stop of the day, tod

in swing states wisconsin, colorado and nevada where he had this barb for mitt romney's policies. >> obama: with a straight face, he's offering them up as change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. now, let me tell you nevada, we know what change looks like. [ cheering ] >> obama: and what the governor is offering sure ain't change. >> >> jennifer: chump change. governor romney for his part worked some jabs into his speech at one of his three stops in virginia today. >> romney: he's going to create the department of business. [ laughter ] >> romney: i don't think adding a new chair in his cabinet will help add millions of jobs on main street. >> jennifer: if the rnc was any indication, mitt romney knows a lot about useless chairs. with five days before the election, this is no time to play nice. to dissect today's news, we've got a panel that covers every aspect of a war room. strategist karen skelton who worked in the clinton white house. she runs her own phil, skelton strategies. we have joe gar fo

states, iowa, montana, nevada, and utah, two of them are going to be watched really closely. those, of course, are iowa and nevada. the "real clear politics" polling average in iowa right now shows president obama ahead by two and in nevada president obama ahead by 2.7. then later in the night at 11:00 p.m. and then 1:00 a.m., we'll have california, hawaii, idaho, oregon, washington, and then the last poll closing in alaska. unless this is a very strange night, those races will be interesting for governors races and senate and house races and state issues, but not necessarily for the presidency. unless things go very, very differently than expected to go. this is how your election viewing is going to unfold hour by hour on tuesday night. if you just exclude the states for the presidential race where everybody pretty much knows exactly how it's going to go and just the states where there is some question as to what's going to happen, here is a clip and save thing for you about these states. the battlegrounds. all right? states that you know are going to be important and everybody th

in wisconsin. miguel marquez is in nevada. once again, ohio critical battleground state. the state's 18 electoral votes are the second biggest swing state prize behind florida. tell us, first of all, the strategy for the president and mitt romney in ohio. we are just talking just hours away from when people actually start voting. >> you're right. there's a sense here that things are really building to something very critical, but until the strategy question you, and it's simple. they have to get in the last word, and then their organization is getting out the vote, and it's the getting out of the vote, especially in ohio and the other swing states, that is going to be key. organization. that's truly going to play a factor. the lindz were big other the weekend, but they have been building throughout the day today, and you really get a sense from people here that they know ohio is a critical state, and this is a crucial time to all of them. they've been serving hot coffee to people in loin. the police are here to make sure they keep growing. they've been bothered by all those robo calls,

marquez is in las vegas, nevada. ed lavandera is in denver, colorado, for us this morning. john zarrella comes to us live from plantation, florida. we want to begin with complete comprehensive coverage with john berman checking in to see how our correspondents are faring. >> thanks, soledad. the candidates are all over the place today. president obama and mitt romney hold atriallies in seven states today. a final frenetic day of campaigning across the battleground. for the president, he begins in wisconsin, a state that has voted true blue since 1984 but it is almost always close. and with paul ryan a native wisconsin son on the republican ticket, the obama team is taking no chances. they've called in the cavalry to help, including the boss, bruce springsteen to seal the deal. dan lothian is live in madison, wisconsin. good morning, dan. >> good morning, and you're right, bruce springsteen will be warming up the crowd here with a 30-minute concert before the president comes out. the campaign has been using these big names not only to draw in big audiences, but also to energize them. i ca

nevada. this has turned into a very big night for president obama. you had the sense from campaign aide early on as the polls started closing that they new things were trend in their direction and they were feeling confident. the president wrote two different speeches for tonight. a victory speech. and a concession speech. he was prepared for any scenario. tonight here in this room, before, newly 20,000, very excited supporters, he gets to deliver that victory speech. >> we are an american family and we rise or fall together as one nation and as one people. [ cheers and applause ] >> reporter: reporting from chicago, obama campaign headquarters, karen travers for abc news. >> i'm brandi hitt in boston where the room fell silent the minute it was announced mitt romney lost the key battleground state of ohio and then the election. romney supporters were convince heed would win some of the key battleground states. he just fell short in states like pennsylvania, ohio and also virginia. here is what mitt romney told his supporters after he called president obama to congratulate him. >> this

states, ohio, wisconsin, and nevada. if romney won basically everything else that's up for grabs in not these three states he would be short of 270. he would have 267. if you look at the clear averages in these three states these are persistent leads. ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be

radio for the rest of the day but i have been on the ground in nevada, colorado, iowa florida, north carolina virginia pennsylvania, ohio, and i think that's it, but making a loop, kind of like that lady at the airport in the white zone kind of thing just making the loop. [ laughter ] >> stephanie: you know interesting you used the phrase about pundits like to create drama. alfre woodard is paid to create drama. i literally tuned in this morning and somebody saying if the black turnout isn't the same, won't we be able to say tomorrow -- they're creating story lines that haven't happened to try to create this narrative. >> caller: they are and they do the narratives that mitt romney was surging in the polls after surging in anybody's mind after that first sort debate. it has to be that or else they're out of work. they get excited and they have their own world that they do together but the truth is people know what it is. they know that when those guys say they're going to on day one start taking apart the affordable care act when he won't even comment on the led bedder for fair pay.

's woman problem. in story county, nevada, a republican businessman who employs lots of women just got elected commissioner. the thing is he employs lots of women. it's a brothel. [ male announcer ] when these come together, and these come together, one thing you can depend on is that these will come together. delicious and wholesome. some combinations were just meant to be. tomato soup from campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. >>> another victory for a democrat in a close house race. ron barber, the successor to gabrielle giffords, has won his race in southern arizona. barber defeated martha mcsally. it's barber, the democrat, who has emerged victorious. he was a district director for congresswoman giffords, and he was actually injured during the shooting that nearly killed her. >>> an update from florida in that race between patrick murphy and allen west. murphy's lead over west has grown by nearly 300 votes after a recount in st. lucy county, but west is still, unbelievably, refusing to concede. we'll be right back. [ male anno] you are a business pro. monarch of marketing ana

on tuesday. >> doug: and nevada close. >> sean: and same thing there with early voting. >> a little more complicated picture there but the republicans are in the hunt there. >> sean: prediction? i stand by what i said thursday not the "wall street journal." i think it will be close which is 51-48 which could be a two to two and a half point race and romney gets 279 to 281 or 286 in the electoral college. >> i think it is a two paint race or three paint race. karl rove good to see you. we will be watching all election night. is history repeating itself. the images of long lines. by the way, five hours on long island. rationing of gas in new jersey. the obama presidency is looking a lot like jimmy carter's. remember how the carter years ended? and what did the president mean when said that voters should vote out of revenge? we will check in with governor palin and much more, straight ahead. these fellas used capital one venture miles for a golf getaway. double miles you can actually use... but mr. single miles can't join his friends because he's getting hit with blackouts. shame on you. no

helped president obama beat mitt romney among hispanic voters by 3-1 in nevada, costing the republicans the white house. >> they think about us like a second thought. like, oh, we need to have hispanics, we may not be able to win. >> reporter: this las vegas businessman, a republican for 40 years, says many his n his party businessman, a republican for 40 years, says many his n his party need to learn to reach out, too, and soften their stance on immigration such as on programs to give illegal immigrants permission to work if they were brought to the u.s. as children. right now as it stands, do you believe there are enough republicans who belief in compromise on immigration? >> well, i want to believe that we believe. >> reporter: do you believe it right now? >> yes, because if i don't believe it i wouldn't be able to be a republican. >> reporter: in florida, colorado, and nevada, the percentage of the electorate that is hispanic has increased one percentage point or more in the last four years. by 2016, at least two million more latinos will be eligible to vote. the obama campaign went

to pump more money, more stimulus into the economy in hard-hit states like nevada, florida, ohio, colorado, pennsylvania, california than any institution. they may be more important than the fed. we have to look at money and politics. >> this is interesting. the comments from all four speakers. i want to ask about a demographic group that none of you touched on. one out of every five americans has a disability. 51% of likely voters said they have a family member with a disability. at the national press club when there was an opportunity for the romney campaign and the obama campaign to send someone to speak about disability issues, the romney campaign chose not to attend and chose not to issue a position paper on disabilities. i wanted to ask why, given that one out of five americans has a disability, 51% of american likely voters has a family member or a loved one, why is there not more conversation about that demographic within our society and election process? >> the short answer is in an election that revolving around the role of government, if your for small government, why would you

, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp street get to 270 electoral votes. i think governor romney starts with a challenge which is florida, north carolina, and colorado. if he can win those three, and i think he's got a decent chance in all, although the president hasn't given up on colorado and florida, then he needs to find a couple other -- a couple of options, one is to just win ohio. if he can't win ohio, and virginia also, he needs to win virginia also, okay, if he can't win ohio he needs to find another way. states of the three polls you showed as well as pennsylvania, michigan, he needs to offset a loss in ohio. ohio's the simplest and most competitive the reason they're l

. they look at iowa, they look at wisconsin nevada and new hampshire and they think those states are in their column. they're incredibly confident as of this moment that they look at ohio and that's the next highest level of confidence they have what mark said is right. they feel the bain ads did damage to romney. we're going to look back one day on the fact that governor romney wrote his op-ed in the "new york times" that said "let detroit go bankrupt." he wrote that op-ed in november of 2008 right at the endof -- right after the presidential campaign in 2008, long before he was an announced candidate and it could been the most important thing to his detriment that he did. he did it almost four years ago but it's been very hard for him to overcome that. it's also the case that ohio is different in the sense that the white working class voters in ohio are more unionized than any other state in the country and what we're seeing across the midwest is that white working class voters in the northwest the rust belt are just different in terms of their attitude towards president obama

for a rescheduled event that he had to cancel tuesday to deal with hurricane sandy. then he is off to nevada, colorado and ohio. yesterday, obama toured the aftermath of hurricane sandy in new jersey along with governor chris christie who had nothing but kind words for the president. >> has worked incredibly closely with me. i cannot thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state and for the people of our state. >> the governor has said he has no intention of bringing romney to new jersey to survey the storm's damage. christie aides are denying any sort of rift with the romney campaign saying it is just about dealing with the storm and not about presidential politics. but one of the main political speculations here is that christie thinks romney has no chance of winning and he is setting himself up for a run in 2016. >>> romney has a good cause to be worried if the polls have anything to say about it. president obama is ahead six points in iowa. that's coming from the nbc news "wall street jo

on the campaign trail with events in wisconsin, nevada and colorado. governor romney arrives in virginia a day after an event in another battleground state. >> mitt romney campaigned in florida wednesday but during his three rallies he never once mentioned president obama by name. >> i understand what it takes to get this country going again. and to bring back the kind of greatness we depend on. >> he refrained from an all out attack on the president who was visiting with disaster victims in new jersey. instead romney made his own pitch to help those affected by the storm. >> if you have the ability to help please provide some resources to people there and give calls to your loved ones and keep folks in your thoughts and prayers. it's a big part of what america is. >> the romney campaign ended up back pedalling wednesday over remarks he made about disaster relief funding. at a republican primary debate last year romney down played the federal government's role in disaster response. >> every time you have an occasion to take something from the federal government and send it back to the states t

to decision 2012, back on the campaign trail, president obama visits wisconsin, nevada and colorado today. governor romney spending all day in virginia with a toned-down message after the storm. we get the latest now this morning from nbc's tracie potts in washington. >> reporter: president obama is back on the campaign trail today. new nbc polls show him ahead by six in iowa. but this week, he focused on new jersey. >> we are not going to tolerate red tape or bureaucracy. >> reporter: touring storm damage with republican rival governor chris christie. >> can't thank the president enough for his personal concern and compassion for our state. some folks will criticize me for complimenting him. i speak the truth. >> reporter: analysts say the president is picking up political points. >> the message that christie is sending voters is that obama is doing a good job. that he's somebody who can be trutsed. >> reporter: in florida, governor romney criticized the administration's record helping small business. >> sometimes regulators seem to look at businesses like they're the enemy. >> reporter:

, nevada, colorado, iowa, ohio, and wisconsin. >>> and finally, it is halloween in new jersey. governor christie postponed last week's celebrations until today as a result of sandy. so there you go. all day long you can stay on top of the very latest developments in those stories and others as they break on msnbc. tonight, be sure to watch brian williams with "nbc nightly news." >>> here's a look at what's coming up later on the "today" show. a look at the first lady of fashion and the style of the candidates' wives. and coach of "the voice" christina aguilera dishes on this season's standout contestants. now keep it on this channel for continuing local news, weather, sports, and much more. i'm veronica de la cruz. thank you so much for watching "early today," just your first stop of the day today on your nbc station. have a terrific monday.

fine. same with nevada. areas of ohio look clear, too. there's talk of the nor'easter heading through the mid atlantic and off the east coast. it doesn't look to be a horrible storm. regardless fshl regardless, power outages in, we will see a chance of showers out there. but precip amounts should be very light. everything looks good, lynn, pretty much across the country for election day. couldn't ask for anything much better. >> bill, thanks so much. >>> in addition to the white house werks v, we'll take a look at the hotly contested senate races. plus let's go back to nbc's democracy plaza right here at the heart of rockefeller center. you can also check us out on the web at nbcnews.com. you're watching "early today." ♪ ♪ >>> a look there for you. bruce springsteen performing at an obama campaign event last night in columbus, ohio. speaking of the boss, it was in his home state of new jersey where officials are making sure voters can cast their ballots despite the devastation from hurricane sandy. voters whose polling places were flooded were busy filling out forms yesterday to c

on the campaign trail in nevada and wisconsin. mitt romney will be in virginia at the rally yesterday in florida balancing his push for early voters during the poll of storm relief. >> please make sure you go out and vote early. if you have a dollar extra send it to the red cross for our friends that are in harm's way. i love you and i appreciate it and together we we are going to win. >>> both campaigns are battling for the independent voters that are generally favoring romney. when you start looking at individual issues the economy still looming large with a clear plurality among likely voters. although when you look at national security at the bottom it has edged up just a bit. this is the president handling the economy. approved are 45 percent disapproval of the majority. it is a tough number to head into reel lesh wi-- reelection . new unemployment numbers coming out tomorrow. >>> talk about that with cheryl co-teachers co-teachers -- co-teachersasoni in a littl. >> they told the obama administration and consulate could not with stand a coordinated attack. peter doocy is live with more on t

will be in wisconsin, where he is right now, with nevada, colorado, ohio, iowa, virginia, and florida. of course, they're sending their number one surrogates, the vp nominee, out where they're not going. is this the map, centered in ohio, virginia, and florida, is it still where the action is? >> it is for governor romney for sure. it's always been the case that governor romney needs to win florida, needs to win virginia, and pretty much needs to win ohio. even then he still needs to pick up another state somewhere along the way. you can see in his map that he's spending months of his time in florida, virginia, and ohio and a little bit of time in one of those other states that he thinks he might be able to get a pickup, whether that's wisconsin, whether that's colorado. those are the states he thinks he has the best chance. he's not spending time in iowa. he'll spend two different trips -- ending his campaign in new hampshire. he has an event in new hampshire over the weekend. he thinks he might be able to pick up there. that tells you a lot. i know a lot of republicans had hoped governor romney woul

make of virginia? what do you make of wisconsin? what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are go

: colorado, florida, ohio, new hampshire, north carolina, michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, virginia, and wisconsin. bob, i point out dana referenced a column, who thinks it will be 315 to 223 for obama and rollins was in the green room and he said he is the best in the business and he has never gotten it wrong. what do you make of that prediction in bob: it is significant. but he has gotten it wrong a few times. if i were in, and he is doing what he is doing, now, he clearly has a side and i would look at the happy side, the happy side from my side and right now obama is ahead in eight of the 11 target points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> h

could win in colorado. but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney victory. both morris and sabato will be on this program wednesday. again, i cannot make a prediction tonight. it pains pee. i don't like it. but i have to be honest. i can't do it. because even at this late date, some americans could still vote either way. both candidates still have a fighting chance. and that's the memo. next on the run down. the aforementioned carl rove will tell me how tragically wrong i am or something. and then, krauthammer, hume, powers, march will all weighen in n. on the fact tour tomorrow. we'll be right back. >> bill: what will happen in the presidential v

before we start to see results out west, but beyond nevada which we don't think is much of a toss-up as we once thought it was, the romney folks don't feel that great about nevada, so most of the action is on the east coast and in the midwest. of the states that have been called, it's been a good night for barack obama. he won pennsylvania, looks like he's going to win michigan. he won wisconsin huge. i think the one we've not talked enough about is new hampshire. the ap has called new hampshire for barack obama. that was a state that mitt romney thought he had a really good chance of winning, neighbors, massachusetts -- >> [inaudible] >> does he have a house there? >> i think so. >> talk about new hampshire. >> just looking at the exit polls, just unpacking them a little bit, and people are going to be looking at whether mitt romney really had the momentum that he seemed to or that they claimed. you're going to hear republicans say you heard former governor haley barbour over the weekend saying the storm had really blunted his momentum. if the president's handling of the storm wa

for democrats. virginia, montana are important if the democrats could pick off arizona or nevada. but things have been breaking for the democrats the past couple of weeks, i think. >> brown: you haven't had a chance to talk about missouri. >> missouri is a very interesting state where democrats hadn't been earning more than 50% of the votes even when winning because there were other factors. and and there is a third party candidate helping her a little bit. one interesting thing about deb fisher, it's the first time nebraska is sending a woman to the senate. and in new hampshire, the associated press called the democratic governor won there. she will be the only female democratic governor in the country next year because she's won. >> yes. >> brown: is that something you didn't know? did we stump you? >> there is a sitting woman democratic governor right now, but she chose not to seek reelection in north carolina. >> right, so in 2013. >> brown: and back to you, glen and judy. >> ifill: we find it very interesting to see how all this is shaking out partly because we see what's happening on t

they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso

cases in nevada. in a letter to election officials, they're asking nevada and five other states to recalibrate all of these machines, have additional technicians on hand and use signs and verbal reminders to make sure ballots are correct. the secretary of state says there is no evidence of any problems. >>> country music's biggest stars gathered in nashville last night for the 46th annual cma awards. hurricane sandy on their mind. >> dedicated to new york, new jersey, all our friends out there on the east coast. >> gretchen: jason aldean kicked off the show with luke brian and eric church. ♪ the only way i know. ♪ ♪ . >> gretchen: big winner of the night, blake shelton. he took home three trophies, including entertainer of the year. he joined keith urban, faith hill and lady antebellum in a tribute to will cree nelson. -- willie nelson. >> eric: i don't see them on the list for the nbc concert. no country stars on there. >> steve: no. >> eric: the other big story this morning, hurricane sandy now turning even more deadly? the death toll rising to more than 90 this morning

close. and labor aint dead. laver played a big role in helping obama and nevada and wisconsin as well as an ohio. the popularity of the auto bailout is hard to overstate. that a little bit from politico. now we want to hear from you. we will begin with a call from woodbridge, virginia on our line for democrats. good morning. go ahead. caller: good morning. i am calling it, as my first time calling c-span. a have been listening for several years. and i feel like i have to make a call today. my comment would be, i voted for obama, and a first-time voter. i just became a citizen of this year. the democratic party, i have been here for two years, and this democratic party stands for us all, it helps the poor people of. like obama said, trying to help people come up to the middle class. the republican party stands for the rich. it claims to be a christian party. these people call themselves christians. but the abuse, the idea as, is not designed to help the poor. it is for the rich. so people like myself, i would never aligned with this party. host: tell us about your experience boating an

the unemployment rates, nevada, 11.8%. colorado still 8%. wisconsin, ohio, new hampshire, virginia, florida, iowa. look at iowa, 5.2%. it's essentially full employment in iowa but they are concerned about debt, deficit and the quality of jobs you are getting. let's start with the ohio jobless rates. no gop candidate won an election without winning ohio. ohio makes presidents. today, 7% is the unemployment rate, less than when the president took office. that is better than the national average. they have been adding manufacturing jobs. not as many by any stretch of the imagination that they lost. look at florida and the trend of the jobless rate in florida. it's exactly where it was when the president took office. still higher than the national average. it has been coming down. housing is still a major issue here. in virginia, 13 electoral votes, jobless rate is low now. a 5.9% in virginia. but, it's still higher than when the president took office. essentially flat in virginia. it's going to be interesting because superstorm sandy could have an effect. power outages there. we don't know what tues

on the campaign trail. he will visit wisconsin, nevada and colorado today. governor mitt romney is in virginia, after campaign iing i florida on wednesday. jan crawford filed this report this morning as the romney campaign headed north. >> to say that the hurricane threw a wrench in the presidential election is really an under dstatement. think about it. less than a week to go, the race this tight. both sides suspending campaigning and romney yesterday back on the campaign trail but muting his attacks on the president. and the president yesterday getting to do something romney could not. act as comforter in chief. >> we're going to help you get it all together. i promise, you're going to be okay. >> reporter: he met with victims and officials, reassuring that the government will be there to help. >> we're going to get this whole thing -- we're going to get this whole thing set up. >> reporter: at his side republican governor chris christie, a romney supporter. to show he was moving beyond partisan politics. >> he has been aggressive in making sure that the state got out in front of this incred

on the campaign trail. he'll visit wisconsin, nevada and colorado today and governor mitt romney heads to virginia after campaigning in florida on wednesday. jan crawford is covering the romney campaign in jacksonville. jan, good morning. >> reporter: good morning, norah, good morning, charlie. to say that the hurricane threw a wrench in the presidential campaign is an understatement. both sides suspending campaigning. mitt romney muting his attacks on the president. the president yesterday getting to do something romney could not. act as comforter in chief. >> i'm going to help you get it all together. i promise. i promise. >> reporter: as the president tour storm-ravaged areas of new jersey he met with victims and officials, reassuring them the government would be there to help. >> everybody safe? that's the most important thing then we'll get this whole thing set up. >> reporter: apartment his side was new jersey republican governor chris christie, a mitt romney supporter. recognizing christie for his leadership the president sought to show he was moving beyond partisan politics. >> he's been a

battleground states pretty much in the bag. they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in anoth

, particularly in nevada, another key state that we're watching here. there was just a kwocouple of d ago that the romney campaign ran this ad attempting to link the president to hugo chavez and fidel castro that is probably not a way to get latino voters to i guess appreciate your economic plan since he says he's got this five-point plan. >> well, one of the things that is interesting here, that is an ad that actually might work in florida. the hispanic community in florida is made up of cubans and venezuelans. if you look at the polls that. >> do care about this administration's policy in terms of some of these countries and in terms of south american countries. so that's a ploy i think will work in florida. not so much in nevada where there are more mexicans. you're right. this idea of focusing on foreign policy rather than on economic policy, not a good play. you saw mitt romney try to do that early on. he was in texas, for instance, early on in this race, and talking about those issues. but, again, in texas, that's a state he is going to win. have i been quite surprised that you have

in wisconsin, nevada and colorado. karen travers, abc news, washington. >> by all measures this is still a tied race, that is still going to come down to a few key swing states, ohio. according to a "the new york times" poll we got yesterday, halloween. obama up by five points, 50-45 over romney in ohio. if, you know, like i said you don't know the impact of the storm. you've don't know, every poll says something different. so you don't know how it will play out. all eyes really, ohio and -- and florida. but then democrats could be losing ground, in what they thought were solid blue states including michigan and minnesota now. >> you would think though the folks in florida, with all of the hurricanes that they get, they want someone they can respond, vigorously and robustly to, to this type of tragedy. and with chris christie, vouching for president obama, i would think that that would have some sort of effect on, perhaps florida voters. >> you know what else, i hope i haven't, mentioned new orleans on the show this week. i think when the way you see politicians and your local leaders, even med

seats in play, and when we get out west, california, washington, nevada, something good could happen for them. but it's going to be hard for the democrats to take over the house. >> brown: there a particular one or two you want to keep your eye on especially tonight? >> a lot of the demographic data we're looking at democrats have area where's they can gain, perhaps later on down the line, arizona, texas, as sturks mentioned, florida is another one, where the democrats are look at making long-lasting gains. they're making new seats. california is another one we will be watching. what is the bigger picture when it comes to the type of members of congress? are these people extreme on one part or the other? the way the lines are drawn that can happen. if you draw a district with extreme democrat or republican, you can end up with extremes in congress. >> woodruff: mark, you were telling me you were off the set talking to somebody, picking up some information about how the vote is coming in. >> the turnout right now is that what tino voters are voting at the levels that the obama people

, nevada, three cities in ohio, and diane, that's just thursday and friday. >> all right, thank you, jake. >>> and what about governor romney? what does he plan to do as the race enters the final stretch? abc's jonathan karl tells us about that. >> reporter: mitt romney was back on the campaign trail today in florida, but with a twist. gone was any criticism of the president, replaced with talk of unity. >> look, we can't go on the road we are on. we can't change course in america if we keep on attacking each other. we have got to come together and get america on track again. >> reporter: recent polls in florida show the race here in a dead heat. romney's most prominent florida supporter told us it's hard to imagine him getting elected if he doesn't win here. >> i think it's very important to win and obviously difficult to come up with a formula for victory, i'm sure there is one, but let's not even try. let's win florida. >> reporter: just as important for romney is ohio, where he is under fire for ads suggesting u.s. automakers are about to ship jobs to china. >> obama took gm and chrys

in nevada and new hampshire have him up there as well. check this out! 332 electoral votes to 188 according -- i think i just knocked that out. to 191. that's from today. the only swing state that shows he is down -- actually tied today but down over all is in north carolina. and then there's pennsylvania. the romney camp made a $120,000 ad buy yesterday and three super pacs supporting romney have poured $6 million into pennsylvania just this week. why, you might ask? well, it's all part of their plan to quote, expand the electoral map. the president is up by four points in pennsylvania and they are still pouring all of that money into it. the poll out today was a franklin and marshall poll. and david axelrod placed an interesting range isser on whether the participate would take minnesota, michigan or pennsylvania. >> i will shave off my mustache if we lose any of those states. >> jennifer: that put david axelrod on the side of the american mustache lobby. and the american mustache institute put out a statement saying, quote . . . >> jennifer: all kidding as

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